Recently our worthy democratically elected government is
embarking on an ambitious Rs 44 Billion project to build a bridge that would connect
Rawalpindi to the capital of Pakistan i.e. Islamabad via an overhead bridge on Murree Road
with buses plying on it and entering in to the capital city via 9th avenue and finally culminating on Jinnah Avenue called the Metro Buss Project.
No doubt this will be a landmark project for the twin cities
for commuters plying daily that go through a daily torture traveling between the
twin cities through private public transport. In a nutshell this project
will have huge bridges with tarmacs and buses plying over them. This is my non
expert development
opinion about the project in general .
Introduction to Rapid Mass Transport Systems:
Let me give you a brief introduction to Rapid Transit for
mass commuters.
Rapid Transit is a concept we generally refer to high speed
transportation systems using high speed trains/Trams carriages for commuters in densely populated
urban areas. This brings in the rolling stock concept high speed train engines,
carriages, tracks and stations both over ground and underground with multiple
entries and exits. This is generally meant for middle/low income citizens that
have to reach their respective work places on time. In the process they avoid
road traffic; traffic jams, cost of owning a transport and cost of fuel to name
a few.
Long Term and Short Term development plan:
Long term and short term impacts of such projects should
always be taken in to account. I also read that there has been an Environmental
Impact Assessment (EIA) for this project and public hearings as well. In most
countries such projects take years to plan chalking out each and every possible
irritant and its mitigation once the project goes on line. We have to be super
humans to plan and execute a project that will directly or indirectly affect
the lives of at least a million people living in the twin cities in just 8 months.
To my knowledge only the detailed project plan and FEED (Front end engineering
and design) will take years to create. Let alone the actual implementation and
then we have the everlasting threat of terrorism that might have over taken all
other concerns to a genuinely civilized democratic dispensation.
To me if only buses have to be employed to reach a certain
destination than anyone who has driven in Islamabad or has visited it must have
noticed that on every main artery of Islamabad and Rawalpindi there are buss
lanes why not spend a fraction of the amount being used for the project to
effectively utilize them instead of making such a huge infrastructure. Why not
ply these super sized Turkish buses on the same routes marking and improving
the quality of buss stops on these routes.
Any thinking democratic government would have thought the
sustainability of such a huge project. A mere EIA does not even count in such
projects. Scenario planners, transportation planners, material planners,
environmental planners work day and night to come to common understanding if we
exclude economic and financial concerns.
Competitiveness and Human Capital Debate:
While there are many things that can be debated one of my
major concern is Pakistani Universities are producing technical graduates at a
rapid pace. These technical graduates need to be provided with latest
technology exposure so that they may become our future human capital. Nearly
all developing countries bring in new technology to let their human capital
grow with such projects. Giving you a simple example of a buss that will ply on
this route what new technology does it bring with it? The buss will need a
change of tires, clutch plates, seats, oil and filters. In technical layman
terms it will need preventive maintenance. How many engineering fields are
opening up to your young technical graduates in this scenario? How many if any
of its components are from companies whose turnover is more than the entire GDP
of Pakistan?
Foregoing other aspects that are beneficial from high speed
metro train transit systems a minor example of the technology, it brings
advanced electronics and signalling, composite materials for carriage,
specialized steels for wheels and tracks. electrical panels of most advanced
technology, braking systems that no one in Pakistan has seen before. Which
companies will it bring in? Bombardier, Alstom, ABB, SKF to name a very few.
There are hundreds of them in Canada, USA, Japan, France and Germany. All of
them willing to be competitive if and when an opportunity arises bringing in their
own set of technical expertise and investment to get a slight foothold in the
market. Once these companies are here and few do become your trade partners
they will look up to expand their market share for areas of growth and
partnership. It can be joint research and development; it can be components to
other industrial sectors that these companies produce; it can be job and growth
opportunities for young graduates learning new technology design and
commissioning. It is an opportunity for them to produce many components locally
to achieve a competitive advantage. It can be a chance for our own industry to
diversify themselves to producing components that they can compete with. I will
give another example of this; from 2003 till 2008 many political economists
criticized the state of economy making it consumption driven and what not
without even factoring the price of oil that had jumped from $60 to a
staggering $140 in just 4 months. Yes to a certain extent it was but just
to make few eyebrows move compare a Dawlance fridge with a Haier fridge in 2003
now in 2014. Tell me what will be your personal preference if you live in
Pakistan. Compare the quality and models of Hinopak truck/buss with an imported
Nissan truck/buss in 2003 and now. There is a marked change in the locally
built models of Paksuzuki, Gandhara Nissan, Atlas Honda and Indus Motors
(Toyota). There is single factor competitiveness and competitiveness is the
golden word driving innovation that in turn makes industrial growth
sustainable, resilient and robust in long term.
While listening to various news channels some time ago when
this project was under discussion, our democratically elected prime minister
Mian Muhammad Nawaz Sharif of Raiwind approved the project on being informed
that the bridge structure can also support a rail track in future. I was amazed
at the sheer logic of this rationale it means we are planning such a huge
infrastructure project only to adjust it in future to rolling stock (Metro
Train) then why not plan it the way it will be utilized for ultimately why
wasting such a huge chunk of public money now? Moreover will a single bridge
manage to solve the problems of traffic and daily pains of most commuters
coming from all different directions in to the capital to ride on a single
track or its just a way of getting the staff of PM secretariat on time to
salute their elected representatives? That too at the cost of uprooting one
city called Rawalpindi and destroying the environment of the other called
Islamabad. Did anyone of the said bureaucrats have the courage to put up the
Islamabad master plan and if any such project is even allowed by CDA bypassing
the master plan and CDA by laws. If this goes through next thing we will see is
Islamabad ring road project. Now this ring road logic also comes from none
other than the Halal dollars & date producing fields in kingdoms of Heaven.
I am sure most of the readers can Google the ring roads in Riyadh, Jeddah,
Kuwait, Abu Dhabi and Doha plus the lone obsolete Metro Buss project in Istanbul
Turkey.
Till when will this country run on adhockism and personal
whims of a few. Why cant we try to do things right from the start? Our dear
minister for planning, development and institutional reform was part of this
project’s clearance if this is the standard of planning of one of the most
highly qualified lawmaker of the ruling party who also heads the planning
commission imagine what must be going on in the finance ministry and state bank
of Pakistan.
Note: A special note for our dear legally and constitutionally
elected prime minister Mian Muhammad Nawaz Sharif (the duke of Raiwind Sharif).
Islamabad is the only city in Pakistan that is neither a gift of a Mughal
emperor nor a British general. It is the only indigenous city of Pakistan that
Pakistanis from all ages & all walks of life take pride in please do not
turn it in to another kingdom of heaven. In our country we are masters at
developing to self destruction for the readers not long ago trams were in
Karachi Saddar and a circular railway and Government Transport Service (GTS)
existed. Unfortunately we are the only country in the world to have finished
its public transport system instead of enhancing it.